Found this tweet thread last week about the November 2022 Elections:
Have updated my election analysis, below.
Toplines:
– Election has moved 4-5 pts towards Ds, Biden approval up 6 pts
– Senate leaning Dem, House competitive now
– Ds closing strong.
– Rs are an extraordinary mess.It's a new, bluer election.
— Simon Rosenberg (@SimonWDC) August 18, 2022
Incumbent House Rs struggling:
PA-10 Daniels (D) 44 Perry (R) 41
NE-2 Vargas (D) 46 Bacon (R) 47
CA-22 Salas (D) 43 Valadao (R) 35
TX-34 Gonzalez (D) 47 Flores (R) 43
FL-27 Taddeo (D) 34 Salazar (R) 39
IA-3 Mathis (D) 44 Hinson (R) 44
NM-2 Vasquez (D) 45 Herrell (R) 44m 3/— Simon Rosenberg (@SimonWDC) August 18, 2022
Voter reg data since Roe ended show big increases in female voters.
Actual vote results in MN and NE House specials, Kansas are blue wave numbers, suggest big potential problems in GOP coalition.
Election is changing, trending Dem. 5/https://t.co/459JX64Uzm
— Simon Rosenberg (@SimonWDC) August 18, 2022
It's time for political forecasters to start discussing what happens to GOP brand w/extremist abortion restrictions + years of Jan 6th prosecutions of big Rs + Trump's ongoing betrayal/criming.
Could be structural hit of 2-3-4 pts over years. 7/https://t.co/aDtG6ZDDoN
— Simon Rosenberg (@SimonWDC) August 18, 2022
And I believe that the 440 taking the fifths, Weisselberg, stealing govt secrets, Jan 6th/overturning election, more to come are all going to congeal soon into something historically ugly for him/GOP in 2022 and beyond.
— Simon Rosenberg (@SimonWDC) August 18, 2022
In the last 2 elections Ds beat Rs 52.4 to 45.9 (average). We won the Presidency and both Houses of Congress. MAGA failed, politically.
In this cycle most Rs in the low to mid 40s, meaning they're struggling to even put together same coalition of last 2 losing elections. 11/
— Simon Rosenberg (@SimonWDC) August 18, 2022
You know what's unprecedented?
Having had a serial criminal as President. What's happening now really, truly is unprecedented in American history.
Scale, scope of Trump's criminality MINDBOGGLING. 13/https://t.co/RugGnA0H0a
— Simon Rosenberg (@SimonWDC) August 18, 2022
Be reminded…the GOP put in charge of their National Senate Campaigns a documented crook and thief.
So, can anyone be surprised that THIS happened?
Big story of the weekend: National Republican Senatorial Committee touted record fundraising of $173 million — now it says it has $28.4M left.
Where'd it go, and what does Sen. Rick Scott have to do with it? @KatiePhang & @TheRickWilson discuss spending $21M on text messaging. pic.twitter.com/A7La3GG6zi
— The Recount (@therecount) August 21, 2022
And, they have no smaller donations coming in, because Dolt45 is fleecing those rubes…
and share those funds with the GOP?
BWA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA
https://www.instagram.com/p/ChncvS4AKHd/
Unpretentious, wise, principled, percipient, clear-eyed, genuine, fearless, consistent.. in it and still doing it for all the right reasons..
Authentic to the bone.. no cosplaying, no ploys, no trickery, no lame contrivances..
Zero ‘influencers’ needed to force-feed or force a connection.. zero digital armies conscripted to ‘hype’ and ‘amplify’ .. or to play save-a-damsel..
And most folks know the difference..
#RealDeal❤️
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=GNCWIFesc4E&feature=youtu.be&t=7m20s
Always, the REAL DEAL
The Associated Press (@AP) tweeted at 7:05 PM on Sun, Aug 21, 2022:
A decisive statewide vote in favor of abortion rights in traditionally conservative Kansas has been confirmed with a partial hand recount, with fewer than 100 votes changing after the last county reported results. https://t.co/Pox0oTf0x6
(https://twitter.com/AP/status/1561504735022256128?t=GiXW7Kzo4pIAYPMWAgn2UQ&s=03)
Hakeem Jeffries (@RepJeffries) tweeted at 7:35 AM on Mon, Aug 22, 2022:
Democracy is on the line this Fall and only one side is prepared to defend it.
(https://twitter.com/RepJeffries/status/1561693642850451464?t=jd8sAtrqeQHVhhnawhUe-g&s=03)
Rep. Carlos G Smith (@CarlosGSmith) tweeted at 9:01 AM on Mon, Aug 22, 2022:
Approximately 9,000 transgender Floridians woke up today to find out they no longer have life-saving Medicaid coverage.
DeSantis bypassed the legislature and weaponized state agencies against his own constituents for simply minding their own business.
This is not freedom.
(https://twitter.com/CarlosGSmith/status/1561715071428038657?t=6HrQN_L07ODwJ1Wxh4ARdw&s=03)
Michael Beschloss (@BeschlossDC) tweeted at 9:09 PM on Mon, Aug 22, 2022:
So now the question is more urgent than ever: why did Trump keep those hundreds of classified documents at Mar-a-Lago (despite official demands to hand them back), and what did he intend to do with them?
(https://twitter.com/BeschlossDC/status/1561898306204213249?s=02)
Michael Beschloss (@BeschlossDC) tweeted at 9:32 PM on Mon, Aug 22, 2022:
Also: did Trump make copies or notes from those classified documents he illicitly kept? Did he convey information from them to foreign governments or non-government actors who should not have them? And if so, what was his motive?
(https://twitter.com/BeschlossDC/status/1561904106553462784?s=02)
Michael Beschloss (@BeschlossDC) tweeted at 9:41 PM on Mon, Aug 22, 2022:
Any chance he was going through more such classified documents when he made a rare visit to Trump Tower earlier this month?
(https://twitter.com/BeschlossDC/status/1561906354784174082?s=02)
Michael Beschloss (@BeschlossDC) tweeted at 9:57 PM on Mon, Aug 22, 2022:
The grand jury mentioned in @nytimes would naturally address whether ex-President or a family member illicitly used those classified documents to trade official national security secrets — directly or otherwise — with someone for cash, business and/or political advantage.
(https://twitter.com/BeschlossDC/status/1561910391411822593?s=02)
Palmer Report (@PalmerReport) tweeted at 4:17 AM on Tue, Aug 23, 2022:
One of the ways crime bosses survive is by having underlings commit their crimes. If they ever run out of underlings and have to get their own hands dirty, it’s easier to nail them. Now we know that Trump rummaged through the boxes of classified documents, which proves his guilt.
(https://twitter.com/PalmerReport/status/1562006055936090112?s=02)
Palmer Report (@PalmerReport) tweeted at 4:18 AM on Tue, Aug 23, 2022:
One would think that Trump would have had someone else rummage through the documents and tell him what was what, so he could keep his own fingerprints off it, literally and figuratively. But who does he even have left at this point?
(https://twitter.com/PalmerReport/status/1562006454248226818?s=02)
Isa-Lee Wolf (@IsaLeeWolf) tweeted at 4:12 PM on Mon, Aug 22, 2022:
Seriously.
They’re saying trump should be pardoned.
Without us knowing the full extent of what he’s done.
So DEMOCRATS can heal the wound REPUBULICANS caused.
How is that anything but ridiculous?
(https://twitter.com/IsaLeeWolf/status/1561823523936550913?s=02)
Asha Rangappa (@AshaRangappa_) tweeted at 9:32 PM on Mon, Aug 22, 2022:
I think it’s worth reminding anyone who cares that Trump doesn’t even hold a security clearance
(https://twitter.com/AshaRangappa_/status/1561904220017664000?s=02)
Princess Brazen Hussy !🇱🇷🥑🌺🌺🌺 (@809Matriarch) tweeted at 3:54 PM on Mon, Aug 22, 2022:
These pickled sour royalists try to shade Harry by saying he got his mortgage from Mommy’s legacy. Guess what. Once he inherited the money the funds became HIS! He is using that for his family. However he earns money from other sources…
(https://twitter.com/809Matriarch/status/1561819215832784898?s=02)
I believe this.
Mike Sington (@MikeSington) tweeted at 7:48 AM on Mon, Aug 22, 2022:
Michael Cohen believes Trump was going to use the top secret documents to “extort” America. They were his “get out of jail free card”. His plan was to release the documents “to Iran, to China, to North Korea, to Russia” if Trump was threatened with jail time.
(https://twitter.com/MikeSington/status/1561696901728153602?t=chBPgg_9kqat3g7v7jpDig&s=03)
Palmer Report (@PalmerReport) tweeted at 0:52 AM on Mon, Aug 22, 2022:
Even if you can prove someone 99% guilty right from the start, it can take a ton of time and effort to fill in that final 1% of the gap, so that when this does go to trial, Trump is actually convicted – as opposed to acquitted and emboldened.
(https://twitter.com/PalmerReport/status/1561592034980290560?t=xOtYtP2y5x4DE2DQgjQ5-g&s=03)
Tim 🇺🇦 (@anonyted8) tweeted at 9:22 AM on Tue, Aug 23, 2022:
No one’s asking what kind of national security precedent will be set if Trump ISN’T indicted. They indicted one of the country’s most popular and successful generals for less. Petraeus lied initially, but he didn’t fail to comply with 2 subpoenas.
(https://twitter.com/anonyted8/status/1562082865390559233?t=OIpbCwVisgsHCDsR_6QTWA&s=03)
Michael Paulauski (@mike10010100) tweeted at 10:37 AM on Tue, Aug 23, 2022:
Aaahahahahahaa holy shit the Dems actually stuck an amendment to the Clean Air Act into Biden’s IRA that explicitly defines CO2 as an air pollutant, giving the EPA back its ability to regulate greenhouse gas emissions and directly addressing the Supreme Court’s ruling.o
(https://twitter.com/mike10010100/status/1562101630459416577?t=sO4t4NQaVkkEWscZWa6mdg&s=03)
If Mandela Barnes doesn’t make an ad based on THIS?
He deserves to lose.
🌺Ariana Wells🌺 (@oregon_report) tweeted at 4:57 AM on Tue, Aug 23, 2022:
Ron Johnson : “Senior citizens have misused social security and that’s why i want it to sunset.”
(https://twitter.com/oregon_report/status/1562016168348639232?t=K-sQHTSK4ygN_H6gEWT9XA&s=03)
Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) tweeted at 10:39 PM on Tue, Aug 23, 2022:
I’ve seen enough: Pat Ryan (D) defeats Marc Molinaro (R) in the #NY19 special election. This is a huge victory for Dems in a bellwether, Biden +1.5 district.
(https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1562283492171472896?t=6x4HNjh5WEzjX-f1Oy8Bbg&s=03)
The New York Times (@nytimes) tweeted at 0:50 AM on Wed, Aug 24, 2022:
Breaking News: Daniel Goldman, the former assistant U.S. attorney who prosecuted the first impeachment case against Donald Trump, won the Democratic nomination for an open House seat covering parts of Brooklyn and Manhattan, The Associated Press said. https://t.co/1pF7eKkyJv
(https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1562316353062998017?t=SDaeeUrTcz1g0YG5nm8DIg&s=03)
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
Palmer Report (@PalmerReport) tweeted at 9:30 PM on Tue, Aug 23, 2022:
Trump is coming off like a drug dealer whose stash has been seized by the Feds and he’s less worried about going to prison for it than he is about not being able to deliver the goods to the very dangerous criminals he promised it to
(https://twitter.com/PalmerReport/status/1562266172334084098?t=P5nxl8X2assnoShtBuYmDA&s=03)
Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) tweeted at 0:07 AM on Wed, Aug 24, 2022:
The even better news for Dems tonight is that Mary Peltola’s (D) lead over Sarah Palin (R) in the #AKAL special election just stretched to over 13k votes, giving Peltola a better chance of winning when Nick Begich’s (R) second-choice votes are tabulated next week. https://t.co/zMzjUqBri8
(https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1562305696200380418?t=f6LXj9oip674zpscga8t8w&s=03)
Jon Cooper (@joncoopertweets) tweeted at 10:59 AM on Tue, Aug 23, 2022:
Now that Trump stole documents and nearly EVERY Republican defended him, I don’t trust them with our nation’s secrets. Defeating them during the midterms is now a question of national security.
(https://twitter.com/joncoopertweets/status/1562107318078242817?t=fwZT1S6iIBdGa_xOpatK7Q&s=03)
ABC News Politics (@ABCPolitics) tweeted at 7:47 PM on Tue, Aug 23, 2022:
“I stand before you before you tonight as the Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate…I stand before you tonight believing in the promise of America,” Val Demings speaks to supporters after she is projected to win Florida’s Democratic primary for Senate. https://t.co/gPT70SonNA https://t.co/awKNi2jIPF
(https://twitter.com/ABCPolitics/status/1562240077040078848?t=FC7wdBaYczEA4DGfkMpnUQ&s=03)
GeorgiaPeach OG Biden Babe 🥁🇺🇸 (@ChrisFromGA68) tweeted at 7:08 AM on Wed, Aug 24, 2022:
Accidentally tuned in to CNN to see an interview w/ Charlie Crist.
Kaitlin Collins: Do you want Joe Biden to campaign with you?
Charlie: OF COURSE!! I want him! I need him! He’s a phenomenal President! He offered me his lunch one time. I LOVE THE GUY!
Kaitlin: 😭😡😡😡😭
(https://twitter.com/ChrisFromGA68/status/1562411618914410496?t=7YpiwDdxlRHklJ9UgpZYDg&s=03)
Christopher Bouzy (@cbouzy) tweeted at 3:44 AM on Wed, Aug 24, 2022:
Also, I have been tweeting about this ad nauseam because telling voters, “things aren’t looking good for Democrats,” is a form of voter suppression. If voters feel “we are going to lose anyway,” they are less inclined to vote. This is not the typical election cycle… vote.
(https://twitter.com/cbouzy/status/1562360101536677888?t=GXm78mQ-pCTIVoWBc3eyCA&s=03)
🐝⚖️ Mary Peltola for AK-01 (@Needle_of_Arya) tweeted at 1:52 AM on Wed, Aug 24, 2022:
the “equality feels like oppression” phrase is the exact legal mentality driving the rollback of any measure to execute restorative racial economic justice and give legal relief to those denied an opportunity to maintain or advance themselves
🐝⚖️ Mary Peltola for AK-01 (@Needle_of_Arya) tweeted at 2:02 AM on Wed, Aug 24, 2022:
clinging to the dictionary definition of racism, “the discrimination against someone because of their skin color or ethnicity” (since modified by Oxford & Webster because it was being misused for political purposes) is how white conservatives plan to resist racial justice
(https://twitter.com/Needle_of_Arya/status/1562334457616637952?t=bw5uaZhDdb0MGvTC-aFu4g&s=03)
Sydney Duncan (@sydneyvduncan) tweeted at 9:31 PM on Tue, Aug 23, 2022:
Political tea leaves? Tonight in 97% white, wealthy, and conservative Mountain Brook, AL the three anti-woke, pro-Trump candidates lost nearly 3 to 1 in votes cast for their city council seats in an unexpected blowout, despite what looked like organized and well-funded campaigns.
(https://twitter.com/sydneyvduncan/status/1562266285085442049?t=-di-M4ukvr7DAURQc6hd2w&s=03)
Michael Stratford (@mstratford) tweeted at 9:11 AM on Wed, Aug 24, 2022:
New details on WH student loan relief plan, per sources familiar:
—up to $20K of debt cancellation for Pell grant recipients
— up to $10K for most other non-Pell borrowers
—all relief limited to individuals earning <$125K; families <$250K
—payment pause extended thru Dec 31
(https://twitter.com/mstratford/status/1562442359253528577?t=mRvviCemrU5fqAenm2pClw&s=03)
Good Morning, Everyone😊😊😊